latest posts
A New Stage of the Global Economy is Beginning – Part Two
September 17th, 2014
We are entering the second great stage of the global economy. The last column here looked back at the foundations of the global economy up to and through the reorganizational recession of 2007-2011. We now look at what has happened in the years since and begin the look into what the next stage might look like.
Out of Date Metrics
The economic metrics from the last century, to some degree, no longer accurately measure global economic reality. I remember speaking across the United States and around the world in 2010 and 2011, the years after the economic thought leaders in …
Forecasts – Part Two
February 6th, 2014
This is the second of three columns where I look at all the forecasts I have made about things that might happen through the end of 2013. As I wrote in the first column here this is not an exercise in self-congratulation. It is an opportunity to look back not just on forecast accuracy but to analyze why or why not trends developed, things happened and perhaps what that might suggest going forward.
Almost all of my forecasts about specifics are on the forecast page of my web site
Date of Forecast
September 2008
Forecast
Complete genetic mapping for individuals …
Moving from an Ownership to a Rental Society
June 12th, 2013
In two recent columns, here and here, I wrote about two of the three consumer economic trends that are and will dramatically change consumer and buyer behavior well into the 2020s. In this column I address the third major consumer economic trend, moving from an ownership to a rental society. This trend as with the prior two will be prevalent primarily in the developed world and then spread globally in a decade or so.
Four years ago I started to suggest that in the United States, the reorganizational recession of 2007-2010 might have broken the aspirational, patriotic …
The Coming Transformation in Education
January 1st, 2013
Since the beginning of the Transformation Decade in 2010, I have been saying that education at all levels will undergo transformation by 2020. The book I wrote with Jeff Cobb, “Shift Ed: A Call to Action for Transforming K-12”, published in early 2011, called for nothing less than transformation. Reform is an outdated word and is now not enough to make the necessary changes in American education.
Last week I wrote a guest column for CNN.com titled “Predictions for the Next Decade of Education”. It provoked a number of responses to my inbox and many on-line as …