latest posts
Marijuana and the Rapidity of Social Change
August 4th, 2014
Think back five or six years ago to 2008 or 2009. If you thought about equal marriage for people of the same sex what did you think? If you were gay or knew someone who was and wanted to be married you had clear and perhaps deeply felt views. If not, perhaps you thought it was right, that all people, regardless of sexual preference, had an equal right to be married. Perhaps you were constrained by religious or learned moral beliefs that it was wrong. Perhaps you didn’t really think about it, as it didn’t affect your life in any …
Forecasts – Part Three
February 12th, 2014
[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27 ]
This is the third and final of columns that look at the forecasts I have made relative to things that might happen through 2013. As pointed out in the first two columns, the real purpose is to analyze why forecasts were correct and if not why not and what this might mean looking forward.
As stated in the first column:
“..most people, and certainly people who lead institutions and companies, are interested in what will happen six months to five years out as that is what is their primary …
Forecasts – Part Two
February 6th, 2014
This is the second of three columns where I look at all the forecasts I have made about things that might happen through the end of 2013. As I wrote in the first column here this is not an exercise in self-congratulation. It is an opportunity to look back not just on forecast accuracy but to analyze why or why not trends developed, things happened and perhaps what that might suggest going forward.
Almost all of my forecasts about specifics are on the forecast page of my web site
Date of Forecast
September 2008
Forecast
Complete genetic mapping for individuals …
Forecasts – Part One
January 29th, 2014
[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27]
Eight years ago I first began to write and speak about the future full time. Then, as always, I was asked about what accurate forecasts I had made. This told me of course that my legitimacy to some degree would be based upon this. So I did start to make forecasts.
The second thing I realized was that most people, and certainly people who lead institutions and companies, are interested in what will happen six months to five years out as that is what is their primary …
