latest posts
A True Scientific Milestone
August 5th, 2008
Amidst all the chatter and news stories about who said what in the Presidential race and how SUVs have become undesirable, there was a story last week that will be one that 2008 will be remembered for, at least in the scientific community. NASA’s Phoenix Mars lander found ice on Mars!!
As long as humanity has known about the solar system there has been conjecture as to whether there was life anywhere else. Mars has always been the prime suspect and has led to many books, movies and one famous radio event about Martians. Most of the time such life forms …
Future Forecast – The 2008 Election
July 24th, 2008
The tag line of this blog is “A Future Look at Today”. It is not a political blog, nor is this a political column. I have assiduously kept politics out of this space leaving partisan conversations about campaign issues to others. There is a lot of heat around partisan politics and such heat can prevent clarity. As a futurist I think about the future by looking at the trends, patterns and dynamic forces that exist or are beginning to form. Readers of this column come here to get a sense of what might happen and why. That is …
Future Forecasts – Culture
July 23rd, 2008
There have been many cultural changes so far in 2008. Some of these changes are in response to the rapid increase in the price of oil and other commodities. Some of these changes have been due to technological innovations. In both cases new behavior patterns are being established that will, to some degree become permanent and will create new dynamics in certain industries. Today we take a look at some of the predictions made here last January.
Shopping
The predicted shopping trends predicted were written with a long term view. What is interesting is that the high price of gasoline has accelerated …
Future Forecast – Media and Network Television
July 22nd, 2008
In the column “2007/2008” published on January 1, 2008 I made a prediction concerning media that is worth revisiting.
At the beginning of the year the entertainment industry was in the middle of the writer’s strike. I wrote: “The writers’ strike in the entertainment business is now two months old. Its’ length, the animosity it has engendered and the immediate consequences of it are significant. It has within it the seeds of structural and permanent change in the entertainment business……While the detailed outcome of the strike is not clear, what is clear is that it will have a permanent structural impact …